Sunday, 14 May 2017

2016/17: 1st 19 Games v 2nd 19 Games

Updated 22/05/2017


1st 19 Games


1st 19 Games Played Points GF GA Goal +/- Shots F p/90 Shots A p/90 Shots +/- p/90 SoT F p/90 SoT A p/90 SoT +/- p/90 Shooting% Save% PDO Goal% TSR SoTR xG Ratio xG For xG Against XG +/- Win Draw Lose Passes F Passes A Possession% 0
Arsenal 19 40 41 19 22 15.3 10.2 5.2 5.2 3.6 1.6 41.8 72.1 113.9 68.3 60.1 59.0 64.8 30.7 16.7 14.0 36.1 48.3 5.7 564.1 404.3 58.3 Arsenal
Bournemouth 19 24 26 31 -5 11.7 14.2 -2.4 4.0 4.8 -0.8 34.2 65.9 100.1 45.6 45.3 45.5 41.3 19.2 27.3 -8.1 24.8 39.4 25.7 438.8 408.4 51.8 Bournemouth
Burnley 19 23 21 29 -8 9.5 19.0 -9.5 3.1 6.0 -2.9 36.2 74.6 110.8 42.0 33.3 33.7 32.7 14.7 30.1 -15.5 22.7 45.1 22.2 318.6 527.4 37.7 Burnley
Chelsea 19 49 42 13 29 15.6 8.5 7.1 5.6 2.6 3.1 39.3 73.5 112.7 76.4 64.6 68.6 68.0 27.1 12.8 14.4 44.1 33.1 12.9 518.3 428.7 54.7 Chelsea
Palace 19 16 29 35 -6 12.3 14.2 -1.9 4.2 5.0 -0.8 36.7 63.2 99.9 45.3 46.4 45.4 45.2 20.5 24.8 -4.3 14.4 41.9 33.7 381.9 414.2 48.0 Palace
Everton 19 27 25 23 2 12.9 11.6 1.3 4.7 3.6 1.2 27.8 66.2 94.0 52.1 52.7 57.0 51.5 22.3 21.1 1.3 17.2 46.7 26.1 433.6 426.9 50.4 Everton
Hull 19 13 16 41 -25 10.3 19.6 -9.3 3.5 6.1 -2.6 24.2 64.7 88.9 28.1 34.4 36.3 30.5 12.5 28.5 -16.0 8.8 47.9 33.3 407.5 530.6 43.4 Hull
Leicester 19 20 24 31 -7 11.1 14.5 -3.4 3.5 4.9 -1.4 36.4 66.7 103.0 43.6 43.4 41.5 49.0 21.1 21.9 -0.9 16.2 43.1 30.7 364.8 500.9 42.1 Leicester
Liverpool 19 43 46 21 25 17.5 7.7 9.8 6.1 3.1 3.1 39.7 63.8 103.4 68.7 69.4 66.7 67.2 31.3 15.3 16.1 40.9 39.5 9.6 600.8 357.8 62.7 Liverpool
Man City 19 39 39 21 18 16.6 8.5 8.1 5.6 3.0 2.6 36.8 63.2 100.0 65.0 66.2 65.0 68.3 30.4 14.1 16.3 36.1 34.9 19.1 580.6 300.7 65.9 Man City
Man United 19 36 29 19 10 17.3 9.5 7.7 6.0 3.2 2.8 25.4 68.9 94.3 60.4 64.4 65.1 69.3 28.7 12.8 16.0 28.8 47.9 13.2 526.3 401.4 56.7 Man United
Middlesbrough 19 0 17 22 -5 9.1 14.3 -5.2 2.6 4.0 -1.4 34.7 71.1 105.7 43.6 39.0 39.2 38.0 12.5 20.3 -7.8 18.5 48.4 23.2 414.3 471.6 46.8 Middlesbrough
Southampton 19 24 19 22 -3 14.7 10.1 4.6 4.6 2.8 1.8 21.6 58.5 80.1 46.3 59.2 62.4 58.8 21.3 14.9 6.4 20.8 50.1 19.1 483.6 399.8 54.7 Southampton
Stoke 19 21 22 32 -10 11.4 14.7 -3.3 3.6 5.0 -1.4 31.9 66.3 98.2 40.7 43.7 42.1 44.2 16.7 21.1 -4.4 22.0 41.4 26.6 368.6 436.9 45.8 Stoke
Sunderland 19 14 17 35 -18 9.9 18.7 -8.7 2.9 6.1 -3.2 30.9 69.6 100.5 32.7 34.7 32.4 34.8 14.4 27.0 -12.6 9.5 46.7 33.7 306.0 510.1 37.5 Sunderland
Swansea 19 12 21 44 -23 11.5 14.9 -3.4 4.3 5.2 -0.9 25.9 55.6 81.5 32.3 43.6 45.0 40.5 21.2 31.2 -10.0 9.3 45.2 35.6 429.5 450.4 48.8 Swansea
Tottenham 19 39 37 14 23 18.7 9.3 9.4 6.5 2.9 3.6 30.1 74.5 104.6 72.5 66.7 69.1 62.1 25.1 15.3 9.8 28.3 47.5 14.3 515.4 330.5 60.9 Tottenham
Watford 19 22 23 34 -11 10.7 13.9 -3.2 3.7 4.6 -0.8 32.4 60.9 93.3 40.4 43.6 44.9 40.8 16.0 23.1 -7.2 17.1 40.2 32.7 348.1 425.9 45.0 Watford
West Brom 19 26 25 23 2 10.3 13.3 -3.1 3.1 4.5 -1.4 42.4 73.3 115.6 52.1 43.5 40.7 46.6 19.4 22.2 -2.9 25.7 48.3 15.9 302.4 537.3 36.0 West Brom
West Ham 19 22 23 33 -10 14.2 13.9 0.2 3.5 5.4 -1.8 34.3 67.6 102.0 41.1 50.4 39.6 45.1 21.6 26.3 -4.7 17.8 46.5 25.7 391.7 431.2 47.6 West Ham
2nd 19 Games
2nd 19 Games Played Points GF GA Goal +/- Shots F p/90 Shots A p/90 Shots +/- p/90 SoT F p/90 SoT A p/90 SoT +/- p/90 Shooting% Save% PDO Goal% TSR SoTR xG Ratio xG For xG Against XG +/- Win Draw Lose Passes F Passes A Possession% 0
Arsenal 19 35 36 25 11 14.5 12.8 1.7 5.4 5.2 0.2 35.0 74.7 109.7 59.0 53.1 51.0 60.6 30.9 20.1 10.8 21.9 41.6 26.5 548.7 357.4 60.6 Arsenal
Bournemouth 19 21 29 36 -7 12.2 15.1 -2.9 4.4 5.1 -0.7 34.5 62.9 97.4 44.6 44.6 46.4 40.0 20.7 31.2 -10.4 23.1 35.6 31.3 444.8 433.4 50.7 Bournemouth
Burnley 19 17 18 26 -8 11.3 16.2 -4.9 3.3 4.9 -1.6 29.0 72.0 101.1 40.9 41.1 40.0 41.0 15.1 21.7 -6.6 10.0 58.7 21.3 323.0 469.2 40.8 Burnley
Chelsea 19 44 43 20 23 15.1 8.5 6.6 5.1 3.1 2.1 44.3 65.5 109.8 68.3 64.0 62.6 67.1 30.5 14.9 15.5 40.6 38.2 11.3 532.5 425.5 55.6 Chelsea
Palace 19 28 21 28 -7 10.6 13.1 -2.5 3.1 4.3 -1.2 35.6 65.9 101.4 42.9 44.8 41.8 47.0 19.3 21.8 -2.5 22.4 40.7 26.9 314.3 451.9 41.0 Palace
Everton 19 34 37 21 16 13.5 12.1 1.4 5.4 4.2 1.2 35.9 73.8 109.7 63.8 52.8 56.3 50.4 23.6 23.2 0.4 27.5 43.5 19.0 475.0 414.5 53.4 Everton
Hull 19 21 21 39 -18 10.8 13.7 -2.9 3.2 5.2 -2.0 34.4 60.6 95.0 35.0 44.1 38.1 35.3 16.5 30.3 -13.8 13.1 44.1 32.8 392.3 453.8 46.4 Hull
Leicester 19 23 24 32 -8 11.8 14.8 -3.1 4.2 5.2 -1.0 30.4 67.3 97.7 42.9 44.3 44.6 44.8 19.1 23.6 -4.5 23.2 40.6 26.3 336.0 497.0 40.3 Leicester
Liverpool 19 33 32 21 11 16.2 8.5 7.6 6.3 2.9 3.4 26.7 62.5 89.2 60.4 65.5 68.2 58.3 29.0 20.7 8.2 32.0 42.7 15.3 562.3 335.4 62.6 Liverpool
Man City 19 39 41 18 23 16.8 7.5 9.3 5.8 2.6 3.2 37.3 63.3 100.5 69.5 69.1 69.2 76.7 39.1 11.9 27.2 39.5 40.8 9.7 604.9 318.5 65.5 Man City
Man United 19 33 25 10 15 13.9 9.4 4.5 5.1 2.8 2.2 26.0 81.5 107.5 71.4 59.6 64.0 66.9 26.2 12.9 13.2 27.5 46.0 16.5 524.4 397.5 56.9 Man United
Middlesbrough 19 28 10 31 -21 9.3 14.8 -5.5 2.7 5.1 -2.4 19.6 68.0 87.6 24.4 38.6 34.5 35.3 15.2 27.9 -12.7 6.8 50.5 32.7 393.5 452.7 46.5 Middlesbrough
Southampton 19 22 22 26 -4 14.2 12.9 1.2 4.6 3.9 0.7 25.0 64.9 89.9 45.8 52.2 54.3 51.1 21.3 20.4 0.9 16.7 52.9 20.3 460.0 408.2 53.0 Southampton
Stoke 19 23 19 24 -5 11.3 13.8 -2.5 3.6 4.5 -0.9 27.9 72.1 100.0 44.2 45.0 44.2 52.0 23.9 22.0 1.9 24.7 42.6 22.7 380.2 449.2 45.8 Stoke
Sunderland 19 10 12 34 -22 10.6 16.8 -6.2 3.5 7.0 -3.5 18.2 74.4 92.6 26.1 38.8 33.2 32.0 13.6 28.8 -15.2 5.7 47.6 36.7 323.9 486.4 40.0 Sunderland
Swansea 19 29 24 26 -2 9.9 12.4 -2.5 3.4 4.5 -1.2 37.5 69.8 107.3 48.0 44.3 42.7 41.3 16.0 22.7 -6.7 25.0 43.3 21.7 402.8 491.1 45.1 Swansea
Tottenham 19 44 49 12 37 16.6 9.1 7.5 7.1 2.9 4.2 36.3 78.6 114.9 80.3 64.5 70.7 65.3 31.5 16.7 14.8 42.5 36.7 10.8 531.3 336.1 61.3 Tottenham
Watford 19 18 17 34 -17 11.5 14.5 -3.1 3.8 5.4 -1.5 23.3 66.7 90.0 33.3 44.1 41.7 39.4 16.9 26.1 -9.2 23.8 39.3 26.9 372.5 433.4 46.2 Watford
West Brom 19 19 18 28 -10 10.8 13.9 -3.1 3.4 4.0 -0.6 28.1 63.2 91.3 39.1 43.8 45.7 41.9 17.3 24.0 -6.7 20.7 41.9 27.3 311.1 540.7 36.5 West Brom
West Ham 19 23 24 31 -7 11.9 12.6 -0.7 3.7 4.2 -0.4 33.8 60.8 94.6 43.6 48.5 47.3 46.1 22.2 26.0 -3.8 17.8 43.7 28.5 386.1 467.6 45.2 West Ham

Wednesday, 1 February 2017

2016/17 xG

Updated 22/5/2017


This non-penalty expected goals model uses data sourced from Sportify which uses info about the location of a shot, the individual quality of the player taking the shot, and the placement of the shot. (Yeah, I know...)

This non-penalty xG model tends to undershoot actual non-penalty goals by ~0.3 goals per 2016/17 PL fixture. Use with caution, tread lightly, fistful of salt etc..

Key

GF Delta = Goals For - xG for (positive number = over performance)
GA Delta = Goals Against - xG Against (Negative number = under performance)
xSh% = xG for/Shots For (some people call this xG/per shot for some reason)
xSv% = xG Against/Shots Against
xPDO = xSh%+xSv%
Sh% Delta = Actual Sh% - xSh% (positive number = over performance)
Sv% Delta = Actual Sv% - xSv%
PDO Delta = Actual PDO - xPDO
Sh% = Non-Penalty Goals For/ Non-Penalty Shots For
Sv% = 100- Non-Penalty Goals Against/ Non-Penalty Shots Against



xG For xG Against XG +/- xG Ratio GF Delta GA Delta Goal +/- Delta xSh% xSv% xPDO Sh% Delta Sv% Delta PDO Delta Actual NPG %’s Act Sh% Act Sv% Act PDO
Arsenal 61.7 36.8 24.9 62.6 11.4 2.8 14.1 11.0 91.4 102.4 2.0 0.7 2.7 Arsenal 13.0 92.0 105.1
Bournemouth 39.9 58.4 -18.5 40.6 8.1 -6.6 1.5 9.0 89.4 98.4 1.8 -1.2 0.6 Bournemouth 10.8 88.2 99.0
Burnley 29.7 51.8 -22.1 36.5 3.3 0.8 4.1 7.6 92.2 99.8 0.8 0.1 1.0 Burnley 8.5 92.3 100.8
Chelsea 57.6 27.7 29.9 67.5 24.4 -3.3 21.1 10.0 91.4 101.3 4.2 -1.0 3.2 Chelsea 14.2 90.3 104.5
Palace 39.8 46.5 -6.8 46.1 6.3 -14.5 -8.2 9.3 91.0 100.3 1.5 -2.8 -1.3 Palace 10.7 88.2 98.9
Everton 46.0 44.3 1.7 50.9 13.0 3.3 16.3 9.2 90.0 99.3 2.6 0.7 3.4 Everton 11.8 90.8 102.6
Hull 29.0 58.8 -29.8 33.0 5.0 -10.2 -5.2 7.3 90.5 97.8 1.2 -1.6 -0.4 Hull 8.5 88.9 97.4
Leicester 40.2 45.5 -5.3 46.9 3.8 -13.5 -9.7 9.4 91.8 101.1 0.9 -2.4 -1.6 Leicester 10.3 89.3 99.6
Liverpool 60.3 36.0 24.3 62.6 10.7 -3.0 7.7 9.5 88.2 97.7 1.7 -1.0 0.7 Liverpool 11.2 87.2 98.4
Man City 69.5 26.0 43.5 72.8 3.5 -10.0 -6.5 11.1 91.3 102.4 0.6 -3.3 -2.8 Man City 11.7 88.0 99.6
Man United 54.9 25.7 29.2 68.1 -3.9 0.7 -3.2 9.3 92.8 102.1 -0.7 0.2 -0.5 Man United 8.7 93.0 101.6
Middlesbrough 27.7 48.2 -20.5 36.5 -2.7 -0.8 -3.5 7.9 91.2 99.2 -0.8 -0.2 -0.9 Middlesbrough 7.2 91.1 98.2
Southampton 42.5 35.2 7.3 54.7 -4.5 -6.8 -11.3 7.8 91.8 99.6 -0.8 -1.6 -2.4 Southampton 7.0 90.2 97.2
Stoke 40.6 43.1 -2.5 48.5 -3.6 -11.9 -15.5 9.5 92.0 101.6 -0.8 -2.2 -3.0 Stoke 8.7 89.8 98.5
Sunderland 28.0 55.8 -27.8 33.4 -4.0 -9.2 -13.2 7.2 91.7 98.9 -1.0 -1.4 -2.4 Sunderland 6.2 90.3 96.5
Swansea 37.2 53.9 -16.7 40.8 4.8 -10.1 -5.3 9.2 89.5 98.7 1.2 -2.0 -0.8 Swansea 10.4 87.5 97.9
Tottenham 56.7 32.1 24.6 63.9 22.3 8.1 30.4 8.6 90.8 99.4 3.4 2.3 5.7 Tottenham 12.0 93.1 105.1
Watford 32.9 49.2 -16.3 40.1 4.1 -15.8 -11.7 7.9 90.8 98.7 1.0 -2.9 -2.0 Watford 8.8 87.9 96.7
West Brom 36.7 46.2 -9.6 44.2 5.4 -1.8 3.6 9.2 91.0 100.2 1.3 -0.3 1.0 West Brom 10.5 90.7 101.2
West Ham 43.8 52.2 -8.5 45.6 0.2 -6.8 -6.5 8.9 89.5 98.4 0.0 -1.4 -1.3 West Ham 9.0 88.1 97.1
LGE AVE 43.7 43.7 0.0 50.0 5.4 5.4 0.0 9.1 90.9 100.0 1.1 -1.1 0.0 LGE AVE 10.2 89.8 100.0

Monday, 12 December 2016

2016/17 Big Chances

Updated 22/5/2017

Key 

BC = Big Chance
F = For
A = Against
BC Goal% = Big Chance Goals For/Total Big Chance Goals For+Against
BC Shots% = Big Chance Shots For/Total Big Chance Shots For+Against
BC Goal% = Big Chance Goals For/Total Big Chance Goals For+Against
BC Sh% = Big Chance Goals For/Big Chance Shots For
BC Save% = 100-Big Chance Goals Against/Total Big Chance Shots Against
BC %Shots For = Big Chance Shots For/All Shots For
BC %Goals For = Big Chance Goals For/All Goals For




Position Team BC For BC Against BC +/- BC Goals F BC Goals A BC Goals +/- Team BC Goal% BC Shots% BC Sh% BC Save% BC PDO BC %Shots F BC %Shots A BC %Goals F BC %Goals A
5 Arsenal 71 49 22 35 22 13 Arsenal 61.4 59.2 49.3 55.1 104.4 12.5 11.2 45.5 50.0
9 Bournemouth 53 65 -12 25 34 -9 Bournemouth 42.4 44.9 47.2 47.7 94.9 11.7 11.7 45.5 50.7
16 Burnley 33 45 -12 16 22 -6 Burnley 42.1 42.3 48.5 51.1 99.6 8.4 6.7 41.0 40.0
1 Chelsea 58 30 28 34 15 19 Chelsea 69.4 65.9 58.6 50.0 108.6 10.0 9.3 40.0 45.5
14 Palace 51 51 0 28 25 3 Palace 52.8 50.0 54.9 51.0 105.9 11.7 9.8 56.0 39.7
7 Everton 53 53 0 28 19 9 Everton 59.6 50.0 52.8 64.2 117.0 10.6 11.8 45.2 43.2
18 Hull 30 69 -39 14 29 -15 Hull 32.6 30.3 46.7 58.0 104.6 7.5 10.9 37.8 36.3
12 Leicester 45 52 -7 22 25 -3 Leicester 46.8 46.4 48.9 51.9 100.8 10.3 9.3 45.8 39.7
4 Liverpool 63 49 14 34 22 12 Liverpool 60.7 56.3 54.0 55.1 109.1 9.8 15.9 43.6 52.4
3 Man City 91 32 59 45 14 31 Man City 76.3 74.0 49.5 56.3 105.7 14.3 10.5 56.3 35.9
6 Man United 68 26 42 23 16 7 Man United 59.0 72.3 33.8 38.5 72.3 11.5 7.2 42.6 55.2
19 Middlesbrough 33 53 -20 15 21 -6 Middlesbrough 41.7 38.4 45.5 60.4 105.8 9.4 9.6 55.6 39.6
8 Southampton 43 31 12 13 16 -3 Southampton 44.8 58.1 30.2 48.4 78.6 7.8 7.1 31.7 33.3
13 Stoke 50 44 6 15 22 -7 Stoke 40.5 53.2 30.0 50.0 80.0 11.6 8.1 36.6 39.3
20 Sunderland 29 66 -37 10 32 -22 Sunderland 23.8 30.5 34.5 51.5 86.0 7.4 9.8 34.5 46.4
15 Swansea 44 80 -36 22 39 -17 Swansea 36.1 35.5 50.0 51.3 101.3 10.8 15.4 48.9 55.7
2 Tottenham 72 39 33 38 18 20 Tottenham 67.9 64.9 52.8 53.8 106.6 10.7 11.1 44.2 69.2
17 Watford 38 58 -20 16 33 -17 Watford 32.7 39.6 42.1 43.1 85.2 9.0 10.7 40.0 48.5
10 West Brom 39 55 -16 20 26 -6 West Brom 43.5 41.5 51.3 52.7 104.0 9.7 10.6 46.5 51.0
11 West Ham 51 68 -17 28 31 -3 West Ham 47.5 42.9 54.9 54.4 109.3 10.3 13.5 59.6 48.4
LGE AVE 50.8 50.8 0.0 24.1 24.1 0 LGE AVE 50.0 50.0 47.4 52.6 100.0 10.4 10.4 45.2 45.2